How much should I buy?
You've picked the stocks. Now the hard part — the size of each bet.
Type in the names you like, where you think each one is going in a good year and a bad one, and how sure you are. Out comes how much of each to buy, how much to leave in cash, and the orders to place at your broker. Under the hood: Kelly sizing, a correlation haircut, and a hard per-name cap.
Free, no sign-up. The maths runs in your browser — the numbers you type aren't saved to any account.
Your ideas
Search a ticker — its live price loads automatically. Add your bull / bear targets and conviction p. Names whose two-case edge is negative are flagged and dropped before sizing.
Committed a tree on Drawtree already? Sign in and each row gets an import button that pulls the calibrated conviction and scenario targets straight from it. Sign in
Target portfolio
Sum of raw Kelly fractions before normalization. Low = weak ideas; a cash fallback = too few ideas.
Notes
- Only 2 eligible names — each capped at 33%, 34.0% held as cash (diversification limit).
Want to keep this?
This portfolio lives in this browser tab only — close it and it's gone. A free account is where saved portfolios, your committed hypothesis trees, and weekly verdict monitoring will live.